With nearly all of the votes counted in the state, it now appears solely attainable that Georgia might host not one however two(!) Senate runoffs in January, races that, if numbers in the relaxation of the nation maintain, can be positioned to resolve which get together controls the world’s best deliberative physique for the subsequent two years.

How did we get right here? Properly, Georgia has a state legislation that if no candidate receives a easy majority of the votes in the November election, the high two vote-getters advance to a January 5 runoff. Which is precisely what seems to have occurred in each of the state’s Senate seats.

In the different Senate race, incumbent Republican David Perdue appeared for the first 36 hours after polls closed to probably have prevented a runoff towards Democrat Jon Ossoff, as his vote share hovered barely above 50%. However as the city core round Atlanta (DeKalb County) started reporting its vote in bigger quantity on Thursday afternoon, Perdue was hovering close to 50% — making a run-off look extra doubtless.

Now think about the broader Senate math.

At the second, Democrats have netted only one seat in the 2020 elections. Democratic challengers gained in Colorado and Arizona, however Sen. Doug Jones (D) misplaced his seat in Alabama. Seats thought of potential Democratic flips like Maine and Iowa did not materialize. And in North Carolina, Sen. Thom Tillis (R) continues to maintain a slender however secure edge over Democrat Cal Cunningham, though the race has but to be referred to as.

If Biden winds up successful the presidency — as appears to be like extra doubtless than not at this level — Democrats would wish a internet achieve of three seats to win the majority. Which, if the map stayed because it is proper now, would imply that if Democrats gained each Georgia runoffs, they’d retake Senate management.

May that occur? In fact, it might. Is it the most probably final result? As of right this moment, given what we noticed in phrases of the sudden energy of Republican candidates in Senate races, it is not.

However make no mistake: Partisans (and donors) in each events can do the math we simply did.

Which implies they, too, know the massively excessive stakes for the Senate (and the nation) at work in Georgia over these subsequent few months. Which implies that tens of millions upon tens of millions of {dollars} will pour into each of these races and they’re going to each get coated like mini-presidential races by the state and nationwide media, since there can be no different elections on the market.

Handicapping the two potential runoffs is nearly inconceivable at the second as a result of of the stage of uncertainty in the presidential race — and in Georgia specifically. If Biden winds up successful the state, and that is actually at the least a chance as of this second, then Democrats might be energized heading into the runoffs.

Or perhaps Republicans, who’ve lengthy taken the state’s conservative bent without any consideration, will see the two doubtless Senate runoffs as an opportunity to reassert their state’s ideological lean. Plus, with the quantity of cash and nationwide media consideration (and scrutiny) that may land on all 4 of these candidates, it is onerous to know who will blossom and who will wither.

What we do know for sure is that the 2020 election — and the battle for the Senate majority — is removed from over. And Georgia is the subsequent battleground.