Standard knowledge, although, is not all the time proper — particularly when coping with uncooked political calculations.

Look. There is no query that a Democratic Senate majority would make it simpler for Biden to pick out a Cupboard that he actually needs versus one he thinks can safe the few Republican votes essential to be confirmed if the GOP holds onto their majority. And that unified management, of the legislative and government branches not less than, creates the potential for two years of Democrats’ placing ahead their dream laws on all the things from well being care to taxes to immigration.

However dream situations nearly all the time stay simply that — even when a social gathering controls all of the levers of energy. Take into account what we learn about Biden and the present state of the Democratic Social gathering in Congress:

Biden ran (and received) on a promise of a return to “regular” politics.

“I simply suppose there’s a manner, and the thing that can essentially change issues is with Donald Trump out of the White Home,” Biden stated again in Might 2019. “Not a joke. You will notice an epiphany happen amongst a lot of my Republican buddies.” His whole message — particularly within the normal election — was that Republican elected officers have been essentially good individuals who he may work with if elected president, not senseless drones following President Donald Trump down a dead-end street.

Biden’s file in Congress (and as VP) is as a deal-maker.

Biden is the epitome of a pragmatic centrist, and a man who likes to seek out a solution to make offers — even when it requires giving one thing to Republicans with a purpose to get one thing for his aspect. (Biden clearly relished his work with Senate Majority Chief Mitch McConnell to avert the debt ceiling disaster of 2011 and the fiscal cliff of 2013.) In a city corridor simply weeks earlier than the 2020 election, Biden stated this of his plans if he received:

“What I’ll be doing as — if I am elected president, the primary thing — and not a joke, and you’ll ask, in the event that they’d inform you, your dad’s outdated buddies on the Republican aspect. I will decide up the cellphone and name them and say, ‘Let’s get collectively. We have got to determine how we will transfer ahead right here.’ As a result of there are such a lot of issues we actually do agree on.”

The Democratic social gathering is fractured between centrist and liberals.

Simply eight days faraway from a disappointing election which is able to see them lose seats, Home Democrats have quickly changed into a round firing squad. Virginia Rep. Abigail Spanberger denounced her liberal colleagues on a cellphone name final week. “We have to not ever use the phrases ‘socialist’ or ‘socialism’ ever once more,” she stated. “As a result of whereas folks suppose it would not matter, it does matter. And we misplaced good members due to it.” Which drew a right away rebuke from New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, the caucus’ most outstanding, liberal voice.
“You may’t simply inform the Black, Brown, & youth organizers driving in to avoid wasting us each election to be quiet or not have their reps champion them after they want us,” AOC tweeted. “Or marvel why they do not present up for midterms after they’re scolded for present. Esp after they’re delivering victories.”

Now, given all of that, take into consideration Biden’s problem if Democrats handle to win again Senate management in Georgia early subsequent yr.

He’ll be continually pressured by liberals — notably within the Home — to push applications just like the “Inexperienced New Deal,” “Medicare for All” and all types of different progressive want listing gadgets. (Biden, in fact, has already made clear he would not help these large liberal initiatives.) And he will even be pushed to select liberal favorites for high Cupboard posts — like Elizabeth Warren at Treasury or Bernie Sanders at Labor.

It could be a large headache for Biden. Whereas he may attempt to go his personal manner — when it comes to Cupboard picks and his first-term agenda — he would face opposition from the liberal left at each flip. And whereas Biden’s major win over a number of extra liberal choices does recommend the pragmatic heart of the Democratic Social gathering stays important, there’s little doubt that the eagerness (and donor {dollars}) are primarily positioned on the ideological left.

Now, think about the choice. Biden is president whereas his outdated buddy McConnell is Senate majority chief. (In 2016, as Biden was leaving his position as vice chairman, McConnell described Biden as “a actual buddy … a trusted companion. … We’re all going to overlook you.”) Biden can credibly make the case that there is no such thing as a level in pushing by way of sure laws within the Home as a result of it can be DOA within the Senate. Whereas liberals might hate that, they’d wrestle to disclaim the apparent political actuality.

Which would depart Biden within the position he not solely campaigned on however spent many years within the Senate (and as vice chairman) perfecting: Reducing offers on main points dealing with the nation that might not make everybody completely happy, however which transfer the ball barely nearer to a objective.

You inform me: Which state of affairs sounds extra interesting to the Biden that we all know?